Description

This analysis provides a forecast of DOT prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-05-18 0.001606 0.001696 0.001789 0.001892 0.002003 0.002120 0.002251
2025-05-25 0.001438 0.001563 0.001697 0.001852 0.002025 0.002215 0.002439
2025-06-01 0.001330 0.001478 0.001640 0.001833 0.002056 0.002310 0.002621
2025-06-08 0.001263 0.001428 0.001614 0.001841 0.002112 0.002429 0.002830
2025-06-15 0.001196 0.001371 0.001574 0.001826 0.002134 0.002504 0.002986
2025-06-22 0.001143 0.001328 0.001544 0.001819 0.002163 0.002584 0.003149
2025-06-29 0.001091 0.001282 0.001508 0.001801 0.002174 0.002641 0.003282
2025-07-06 0.001044 0.001238 0.001473 0.001780 0.002178 0.002687 0.003401
2025-07-13 0.000990 0.001184 0.001420 0.001734 0.002147 0.002684 0.003452
2025-07-20 0.000964 0.001163 0.001409 0.001739 0.002182 0.002768 0.003624
2025-07-27 0.000942 0.001147 0.001402 0.001750 0.002223 0.002861 0.003814
2025-08-03 0.000927 0.001138 0.001404 0.001773 0.002281 0.002978 0.004044
2025-08-10 0.000901 0.001115 0.001389 0.001772 0.002311 0.003064 0.004241
2025-08-17 0.000865 0.001079 0.001354 0.001745 0.002302 0.003094 0.004357
2025-08-24 0.000836 0.001050 0.001330 0.001730 0.002309 0.003146 0.004511
2025-08-31 0.000818 0.001036 0.001322 0.001739 0.002350 0.003250 0.004753
2025-09-07 0.000793 0.001011 0.001300 0.001725 0.002357 0.003302 0.004912
2025-09-14 0.000773 0.000991 0.001284 0.001719 0.002374 0.003370 0.005102
2025-09-21 0.000750 0.000967 0.001261 0.001702 0.002374 0.003411 0.005248
2025-09-28 0.000728 0.000943 0.001237 0.001682 0.002369 0.003442 0.005378
2025-10-05 0.000699 0.000910 0.001199 0.001640 0.002326 0.003410 0.005394
2025-10-12 0.000687 0.000899 0.001193 0.001645 0.002357 0.003501 0.005636
2025-10-19 0.000677 0.000891 0.001190 0.001655 0.002396 0.003606 0.005914